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Barron’s said in their Monday edition this week, it’s a “bumpy, volatile, no good, very bad market out there.” A clear reference to the popular children’s book, “Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day.” As the story goes, each page involved...
The Fed is resolute in bringing inflation back to its annual target of 2% and announced a 75 bp increase in Fed Funds last week and signaled another 75 bp increase in November with a 50 bp increase in December. Fed Chair Powell in last Wednesday’s post-FOMC meeting...
The August inflation data won’t change the Fed’s hawkish mood on combating inflation, but broadening disinflationary pressure pushing inflation expectations back towards normal levels might be enough to keep the Fed on track with a 75 bp rate increase. Fed...
The big question is whether the Fed will raise its Fed Funds rate 0.75% at its meetings this week or feel compelled to hike rates a full 1%. Although gasoline prices were down 11% m/m in August, CPI inflation was up 0.1% month over month, and up 8.3% over the last 12...
The August new jobs report last Friday was good news in several respects: slower pace of growth, lower wage rate growth, and increase in labor force participation. Slower wage growth is the first thing the Fed needed to see to start leaning more towards a 50bp rate...
With the inflation outlook becoming more positive, financial markets were hoping the Fed’s next move on interest rates would be less aggressive, but Chair Powell’s particularly blunt and hawkish Jackson Hole speech last Friday signaled otherwise, with the S&P 500...
With the inflation outlook more positive, the big question in financial markets is whether the Fed will continue to raise interest rates 0.75% at its September 20-21 meetings or raise by a lower amount. Fed Chair Powell will speak to this on Friday, August 26, from...
U.S. stock markets last week again reacted positively to economic and earnings data, reminding us that the stock market is a discounter of future economic conditions and expected Fed actions – not economic conditions today or last month. Headline CPI for July is...
U.S. stock markets reacted positively to jobs growth and better than expected S&P 500 Q2 earnings reporting. July CPI inflation numbers will be reported Wednesday, August 10. The 528,000 jobs gains in July, along with a drop in the unemployment rate to 3.5% from...
Prices are climbing at the fastest pace in decades, leading to rising interest rates that have hit both stock and bond returns. A foreign war risks spilling over into a broader conflict, and an oil price spike threatens to exacerbate inflation and damage economic...
A market outlook discussion covering the most pressing topics impacting our markets today. Chief Economic Advisor, Steven Skancke, joins Senior Wealth Advisor, Thomas O'Connor to discuss the current state of the economy – covering the outlook for inflation, rising...
Apart from the horrific human tragedy of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the disruption to world order, the likely impact on the U.S. economy and financial markets will be minimal. After two back-to-back weeks of losses leading up to the invasion, the...