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Market Recap – November 21, 2022

Market Recap – November 21, 2022

This past week highlighted the ongoing struggle between the positive forces of lower inflation and Fed officials trying to prevent an outbreak of “irrational exuberance” in financial markets. October CPI and PPI (Producer Price Index) inflation are lower on a monthly,...

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Market Recap – November 7, 2022

Market Recap – November 7, 2022

The Fed raised its Fed Funds rate another 75 bp this past week and said that while it will continue raising rates most likely at a slower pace the upper limit reported in its “dot plot” at its September meeting may be too low. Financial markets reacted negatively....

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Market Recap – October 31, 2022

Market Recap – October 31, 2022

Until the disinflationary data show up in official figures, the Fed will continue hiking interest rates with another 75 bp increase in November, bringing the Fed funds target to 3.75% to 4.00%. The inflation data are not good enough to warrant easing interest rate...

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Market Recap – October 24, 2022

Market Recap – October 24, 2022

 Stock prices were up this past week even as interest rates also were higher, adding to the conflicting signs of a stronger economy and possibly slowing inflation pressures. This is a good reminder for staying invested as we work through the cyclical “Bear Market”. ...

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Market Recap – October 17, 2022

Market Recap – October 17, 2022

"Evidence of falling inflation is everywhere except in the inflation data." (Ian Shepherdson) Almost every indicator other than the CPI suggests that inflationary pressures are easing.  September’s CPI inflation reported last Thursday showed another new high in core...

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Market Recap – October 10, 2022

Market Recap – October 10, 2022

October 3rd's new jobs report contained both good and bad news for financial markets. Meanwhile we are 10 months into a cyclical “Bear Market” which on average lasts one year.  Labor markets are cooling and likely to weaken further. 263,000 new jobs is positive but...

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Market Recap – October 3, 2022

Market Recap – October 3, 2022

 The Fed said it intends to raise its Fed Funds rate another 1.25% before the end of 2022. What impact do we expect this will have on the U.S. economy and financial markets?  The Fed’s goal is to bring down inflation by reducing “aggregate demand” (spending by...

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